National intelligence council chair when considering russia today, two major questions concerning its future often come up. Alternative worlds interactive le menu december 1, 2012 remarks by chris kojm, chairman, national intelligence council july 24, 2012. Richard engel from the national intelligence council posted climate change 2030. The national intelligence council nic, a small center of strategic thinking in the us intelligence community, launched global trends 2015 to stimulate us policymakers to think beyond their inboxes.
Thinking water systemwide and globally peter rogers harvard school of engineering and applied sciences. Global trends 2025 is the fourth installment in the national intelligence council led effort to identify key drivers and developments likely to shape world events a decade or more in the future. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series. Alternative worlds open pdf 0 b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. The report notes four mega trends that are projected to influence the world to 2030. Alternative worlds by peter groen november 10, 20 peter groen take the time to look over the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s nic series of reports aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future entitled global trends. Le menu individual empowerment majority of world s population wont be impoverished. An analysis of the policy and actions of china, russia, and nonstate actors suggests what this competition might look like in the future and how u. Economic benefits and costs of alternate cyber futures, atlantic council and frederick l. Alternative worlds, released in december 2012, identifies several mega trends and game changers that will shape future world scenarios. Selected references national center for biotechnology.
Information paper on the updated national counterterrorism center nctc guidelines february 2012 global trends 2030. The atlantic council is the strategic partner of the u. Since the first report was released in 1997, the audience for each global trends report has. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project open pdf 6 mb. The rise of the em middle class national intelligence council 2012. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future. The first, and splashiest, is whether russia is going to break up. Since its formation in 1973, the national intelligence council nic has served. December 2012 pdf format, 160 pages the national intelligence councils nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the.
On monday december 10, 2012 the office of the director of national intelligence released the national intelligence council s nic latest global trends report, global trends 2030. Workshop on information technology in africa, may 2002 3 mb pdf file. German air intelligence in the second world war, in intelligence and military operations, edited by michael handel, 350423. It leads the ics effort to produce national intelligence estimates and other documents. Report of the national intelligence council s 2020 project. Intelligence council forecasts that the us could emerge as a major energy exporter by 2020. Alternative worlds office of the director of national intelligence. This report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global. As an alternative, the kindle ebook is available now and can be read on any device. A condensed version of the report is also available 1. The 2008 national intelligence council report global trends 2025 predicted that. It offers a fresh look at how key global trends might develop over the next 15 years to influence world events.
Global urbanization involves billions of people on every inhabited continent half the world s. He is the leading author of several national intelligence councils global. The national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces. Alternative worlds in 2030 by the national intelligence council, shaping the future of global food systems by 2030 by the world economic forum, and the evolving internet in 2025 conducted by cisco and the global business network national intelligence council 2012. The terrorist threat to the us homeland national security archive. As with the nics national intelligence council previous global trends reports, we do not seek to predict the futurewhich would be an impossible featbut instead. The second question, and in my view the more important one, is the underlying question about how regionalism in russia is actually working today. Priorities for geoint research at the national geospatial intelligence agency by national research council, division on earth and life studies, et al. Alternative worlds open pdf 0b this report is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories during the next 1520 years. Dec 10, 2012 the atlantic council s brent scowcroft center on international security will host a twoday conference launching the us national intelligence council s nic global trends 2030. Mathew james burrows is an american intelligence and strategic foresight expert and author. Report on the progress of the director of national.
Memberstate divisions tie the hands of the multilateral institutions. Alternative worlds a publication of the national intelligence council december 2012 nic 2012001 isbn. They work on different kinds of problems for diverse sets of institutional and individual. Military technology investment drives a greater portion of development and government technology controls rebound.
The national intelligence council nic is the center for midterm and longterm strategic thinking within the united states intelligence community ic. National intelligence council the national intelligence council nic is best known as the organization that produces national intelligence estimates, which are intelligence communitywide forecasts of issues and challenges facing the security of the united states. As with previous editions, we hope that this report will stimulate strategic thinking by identifying critical trends and potential discontinuities. The dni leads intelligence integration and forges an intelligence community that delivers the most insightful. As the us national intelligence council suggested in its landmark 2012 report, global trends 2030. In addition to individual empowerment and the diffusion of state power, we believe that two other megatrends will shape our world out to 2030. Declassified tet offensive documents icig semiannual report aprsept 2018 cyber. As in prior reports see, for example, the documents section of pdr 39, no. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence councils s. A service of the national library of medicine, national institutes of health. National intelligence council prospects for wto trade. Global trends 2030 is intended to stimulate thinking about the rapid and vast geopolitical changes characterizing the world today and possible global trajectories over the next 15 years. Alternative worlds december 10, 2012 global trends 2030. Alternative worlds le menu office of the director of national intelligence national intelligence council starters main courses dessert charts.
Individual empowerment majority of world s population wont be impoverished. Dec 12, 2012 the following report was released december 10, 2012 by the national intelligence council. Sep 20, 2010 now as fred has indicated, this goes back to a common program that the nic national intelligence council and the european unions institute for securities studies have had, and that is looking at global trends. Presidents at the beginning of a new administration, that are widely read and commented upon. Alternative worlds national intelligence council on. National intelligence council office of the director of national. First, in 2010, in the sixth year after the implementation of the act. In depth research, detailed modeling and a variety of analytical tools drawn from public. Report of the national intelligence councils 2020 project. Embedding a culture of science and technology throughout the department of state. The cias center for the study of intelligence publishes unclassified articles reports including the always interesting studies in.
A transformed interagency balance is a hedge against uncertainty in a dramatically changing world. In the first phase, commissioned research reports explore the latest scientific findings on the impact of climate change in the specific regioncountry. In preparing this work the national intelligence council received. While i was the counselor at the us national intelligence council 200320 responsible for producing three editions of the highly rated global trends report,1 the pardee center was critical for the modeling of those trends.
Howard passell moderated will megacities be a cauldron for revolution or be an engine for technological revolutions. National intelligence council and european unions institute. For coverage of the atlantic council global trends event and more. The highlevel conference will convene more than 150 participants from the. National intelligence council european strategy and. This is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about possible futures and their implications. Alternative worlds is the fifth installment in the national intelligence council s series aimed at providing a framework for thinking about the future.
Us national intelligence council on alternative global futures in 2030, 2012. The united states will remain the single most powerful country but will be less dominant. United states national intelligence council us nic. Nov 10, 20 overview of the national intelligence council report on global trends 2030. Overview of the national intelligence council report on. Alternative worlds has the information that may help the. Worlds a publication of the national intelligence council. Alternative worlds report and exploring its consequences for us strategy moving forward. The nic reports to the director of national intelligence in his capacity as head.
It supports and reports to the director of national intelligence. Foreign a ssistance for a rapidly urbanizing world. The two leading intelligence journals are intelligence and national security and the international journal of intelligence and counterintelligence. Globalisation and trade world trade report 20 hwwiberenberg bank, maritime trade and. What fate for liberal order in a postwestern world.
Mathew james burrows is an american intelligence and strategic foresight expert and author he is the leading author of several national intelligence council s global trends editions, an unclassified assessment of long term key trends, threats and uncertainties used to prepare incoming u. Alternative worlds center for global security research. The global trends project engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide importance. Alternative worlds, which the national intelligence council published in december of 2012, addressed climate change as part of its megatrend discussion on food, water, and energy. Us intelligence community is that decline is a present reality. The national intelligence council s nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long. The global trends 2030 report was released at an atlantic council conference in december 2012. The united states is engaged in a new era of greatpower competition in the realms of information, ideas, and ideology.
National intelligence council federalism in russia. Alternative worlds interactive le menu december 1, 2012 remarks by chris kojm, chairman, national intelligence council. Jan 30, 2016 however, a more nuanced outcome is more likely in which we see a combination of both a multipolar and multilateral global order where cooperation is more dependent on agreement between the great powers root et al 2015, 6 and power will shift to networks and coalitions in a multipolar world national intelligence council 2012, ii. Alternative worlds national intelligence council dec 2012 global trends 2030. National intelligence council in preparing the global trends 2030 alternative worlds report,1 that lands on the newly elected u. The us national intelligence council on global demographic. Committee on science and technology capabilities at the department of state. Presidents desk and provides forecasts on future challenges for both the u. Global megatrends for the next 20 years and how they will affect the united states. The national intelligence council s nic global trends report engages expertise from outside government on factors of such as globalization, demography and the environment, producing a forwardlooking document to aid policymakers in their long term planning on key issues of worldwide importance. Jan 19, 2016 the us national intelligence council also identified individual issues and the decreasing influence of the state as one of the main global trends for the twentyfirst century, arguing that the. More recently, after retiring and moving to the atlantic council, i partnered again. This work expands the effort of global trends 2010. The impact of technology and geopolitics on military intelligence lesson objectives 1.
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